Hillary Won't Be Elected

I have said since 1998 that I hope Hillary is the democratic nominee in whatever year she decides to run. At this point she is considered the next President of the United States, but I am firmly of the belief that she is unelectable in a general election.

First, consider the above chart. It comes from the Pew Research Center in an analysis of polls versus actual elections. In contested primaries, the leader in the dem polls only won the nomination about 50% of the time. The republican polls were more accurate, and the leader won in virtually every instance.

I have no idea how the dem nomination will go, but I think Hillary will probably win it. She took some shots the other day at the debate, but she will emerge relatively unscathed. The Clintons seem to have the gift of being teflon coated. At least the dem debate was educational for the GOP and how to deal with Hillary.

In a general election, the populace looks for leadership. I will grant you that the GOP has some image problems because of Iraq, and I remain optimistic that the tide has turned and the public will see that the mission there was correct from the beginning. Though painful, a year from now the waffling on whether the vote to send troops was appropriate will bite dems and republicans in the butt. The left has spent the last three years campaigning on an "America has been defeated" platform, and the public has edged that direction as well because the mission has been painful. As the Marine recruiting poster says, no one ever promised you a rose garden. no one likes war, but sometimes they are necessary and everyone likes a winner. Hillary's straddle-the-fence position on Iraq will be an ugly mess for her next year.

Then we have Hillary's proclamation that she has a million ideas but America can't afford them. This will be a GOP campaign commercial for the next year, and rightly so. My 15 year old daughter has some great ideas, too. "Why can't people just get along? Why can't everything just be free and then there wouldn't be poor people? Why doesn't the government just make a law that everyone gets the same health insurance and the government pay for it?" I am not raising a democrat in my home, but you see how the touchy-feely naivete' of a 15 year old girl mirrors the democratic position on serious issues? My daughter will have a much different take on it when she asks the question that my 17 year old asked me last year when she got her first paycheck: "If I worked 20 hours at $8.00, why is my paycheck only $125?"

We can't afford Hillary, and since she is proposing some incredibly expensive and as equally socialist plans, as more and more people can't afford their mortgages and then realize that Hillary wants to take another piece of their paychecks, they will shy away from the left. If people vote with their wallets, next year those wallets will slam shut on more government pick-pockets.

The populace wants leadership, and that means honest solutions to honest problems. It means being able to say the things that people don't want to hear. It means mobilizing military forces when necessary. It means sacrificing a few lives to secure our nation. Hillary is still trying to be all things to all people.

Immigration is one of the most serious issues of our time, because of not only the economy and our culture, but for national security. The GOP could gain some serious points from moving to secure our borders, but have failed to do so in the past. Hillary, as with all politicians, says that we need reforms. We don't need reforms and we don't need laws and we don't need amnesty and change. We need to empower our law enforcement and military to secure our borders. There is a deep resentment in America over this, and Hillary isn't addressing it either.

Hillary is in the Michael Moore section of the dem party. She isn't talking like it at this point, but she is being incredibly deceptive. After she gains the nomination, the GOP will make an concentrated assault on her and her positions. Her past liberalism cannot be overlooked. The left believes that the political wind changed with the last mid-term elections, but they couldn't be more wrong.

This is the main thrust of why I don't think she can win. America elected Reagan, and elected the current President because of conservatism. A good economy, followed by a national unity about 9/11. The dems won the mid-term elections because of the continuous anti-war, hate-Bush drum pounding from the left. The winds didn't change, and they still aren't changing. People are looking for solid leadership and someone to take the helm and march forward.

We don't have any real conservatives, except for Fred Thompson to counter her at this point. The GOP needs to step up and stop being timid. We need one of our candidates to take the helm and stop worrying about what the media or the left says about them. We need a candidate to take the Reagan playbook and take the message straight to the people. YouTube, MySpace, Blogs, FoxNews, Talk radio - anywhere except for trying to please Katie whatshername on the nightly news. The people need to know that we have a serious leader to vote for. Now we just need to find out which one has what it takes.